
Now, let's talk about this specific example. Basically, for 3 days the claims have been that a huge massacre took place in the Haswiyeh village north of Homs. I initially wrote that the evidence did not support all of the claims, though I also wrote that the evidence was clearly incomplete. Bill, having reached the town, was finding not only that the evidence was shaky, but that there was a counter-narrative that jihadis were responsible for the attack.
However, as I had already written about this area, I had another perspective through which I could interpret Bill's findings. That perspective is that based on this data, and past experience from other claimed "massacres," and my loose familiarity with this region, it's possible that there are many other alternative explanations - what if neither side was telling the truth.
Perhaps a massacre, or an extremely bloody series of airstrikes, triggered jihadis, or residents, to launch revenge attacks. Perhaps this was just a gun battle with lots of collateral damage. Perhaps the government troops present at the scene (a contribution from Bill that I did not know at all) led residents to lie about who the perpetrators were. Perhaps a series of brutal killings was conducted, but both sides had a different assumption about who the perpetrators were. Perhaps just a lot of people died in air and artillery strikes, and scared residents created their own legends.
The point is, Bill could have walked in and said, "no evidence of 100+ dead, and some residents said it was Al Nusra." His report would have had little value. Instead, he provided lots of data, lots of details about exactly what he saw and who said what when and where. Or he could have withheld all this information entirely because it perhaps ran counter to a narrative that he would have liked to have propagated. Bill Neely did exactly what he needed to do, and so he gets a major hat tip from me.